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Thursday, 7 August 2025

Can India Fight Its Next War Without Imports?

Can India Fight Its Next War Without Imports?

As India celebrates its 78th Independence Day in 2025

As India celebrates its 78th Independence Day in 2025, a bold question hangs in the air—if war were to break out tomorrow, could India fight and win without depending on foreign military imports?

India has made major strides in defence production. From Tejas jets to BrahMos missiles, from indigenous drones to radars, the landscape has changed. But is this self-reliance deep enough to stand without foreign support during a high-intensity conflict? Let’s break it down.

The Push for Defence Self-Reliance

Under the Atmanirbhar Bharat Abhiyan, the Ministry of Defence banned over 500 imported items, encouraged domestic manufacturing, and fast-tracked DRDO programs. India now has:

  • Tejas Mk1A: Fully indigenous light combat aircraft
  • BrahMos: India-Russia joint missile program, now with local production
  • Akash Missile, Pinaka MBRL: 100% Indian systems
  • Arjun Mk1A Tank: Indigenous but uses foreign fire control systems

However, the real question is: how independent is India where it matters most?

Imported Bottlenecks in India’s Arsenal

India still relies on critical imported components for many systems. Some of the most vital include:

  • Jet Engines: Tejas uses GE-F404 (US), Mk2 will use GE-F414
  • AESA Radars: Uttam radar is in testing, not fully deployed
  • Submarine Propulsion: Air Independent Propulsion (AIP) tech from France under trial
  • Transport & Heavy-lift Aircraft: C-17, C-130, IL-76 — all imported
  • Air Defence Systems: S-400 from Russia, no Indian equivalent yet

Even indigenous platforms often use imported components, which could be sanctioned or delayed in wartime.

Three War Scenarios: Can India Cope Alone?

🔴 Scenario 1: Border War with China

Needs: Rapid airlift, artillery, satellite support, drone warfare

Status: India lacks its own heavy-lift aircraft; ISR satellites may be jammed; drone capabilities still evolving

🟠 Scenario 2: Two-Front War (Pakistan + China)

Needs: Ammo stockpiles, secure comms, dual-airpower coverage

Status: Some reserves exist, but India imports key components like tank fire control systems, precision-guided munitions

🟡 Scenario 3: Cyber + Space Warfare

Needs: Satellite redundancy, cyber infrastructure, secure networks

Status: India’s BNET and satellite programs are growing, but resilience under full-spectrum attack is untested

DRDO’s Roadmap: What’s Coming by 2030

  • AMCA 5th Gen Fighter: Expected 2032, depends on imported engine (so far)
  • Uttam AESA Radar: Being integrated into Tejas Mk1A and Su-30
  • Naval AIP System: Indigenous system under lab testing
  • Hypersonic Missiles: DRDO testing Shaurya and HSTDV programs

India is preparing, but the timeline shows the country is not yet fully autonomous in critical warfighting technologies.

So, Can India Fight Without Imports in 2025?

No, not yet—but it’s closer than ever before. India’s dependence has reduced, but jet engines, heavy aircraft, radars, and submarines still rely on international support. The good news: the foundation has been laid. By 2030, India could reduce its dependency dramatically—if funding, political will, and DRDO execution stay aligned.

Final Thoughts: Independence Must Mean Security

As we celebrate 78 years of freedom, the path to true independence includes self-reliance in national defence. India must not only build but also sustain, export, and evolve its own defence ecosystem. The next five years will decide if India can move from partial independence to full military sovereignty.

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